Where Niche Scoring Breaks at Scale (AI SaaS)
Past the third or fourth round, specific failure modes appear.
Failure Modes
- Crowding scores go stale. A niche that was uncrowded last quarter has six startups in it now.
- Capability inflation creeps back. You stop catching yourself scoring builder-fit by what the latest model can do.
- Spreadsheet sprawl. You add weighted criteria, sensitivity analysis, confidence intervals. Decisions do not improve.
- Outside review decay. Skipping the non-technical reviewer slips back in.
The Fix
Hold the practice to fifteen minutes. Re-anchor scores against round one. Keep the outside reviewer.